Fauci’s Unvaxxed 20 Occasions Highter Loss of life Threat Analyzed
Credit to British scientist and researcher Michael J Cook for testing Anthony Fauci’s claim that the risk of dying from Covid-19 is 20 times higher for the unvaccinated versus the unvaccinated, based on a paper from the Texas Department State Health Service. Chef’s comment:
By Michael J Cook
Anthony Fauci claims the risk of death is 20 times higher for unvaccinated people.
Analysis of: COVID-19 cases and deaths by vaccination status,
Texas Department of State Health Services (DSHS) November 8, 2021.
The DSHS reports key findings, including:
- From September 4 to October 1, 2021, the fatality rate was 20 times higher in unvaccinated individuals than in fully vaccinated individuals, with a range of 12 to 55 times higher depending on age.
- From January 15, 2020 to October 1, 2021, the death rate in unvaccinated individuals was 40 times that of vaccinated individuals, with a 30 to 99 times greater risk, depending on age. Tables 5 and 6,
analysis methodology
Tables 6 and 8 provide the total number of COVID-19 deaths in the study. These are compared to data published by the Texas DSHS (Additional Data: Deaths Over Time by County)
The tables also give the number of deaths and the death rate for different age groups. This allows the calculation of the population in each age group included in the study. Total deaths were calculated using population distribution and totals for Texas were compared to other published sources. In addition, the limitations of the author’s study were reviewed for important issues.
Issues identified in the report.
1) For the period January 15, 2020 to October 1, 2021, the DSHS report of deaths includes a total of 40,782 COVID-19 deaths for Texas, while the report in question includes only 26,704. A total of 14,078 deaths (35%) are not included. How many were vaccinated and unvaccinated?
2) For the period from September 14, 2020 to October 1, 2021, the DSHS report on deaths contains a total of 7,190 COVID-19 deaths, while the relevant report only shows 4,262 deaths. A total of 2,928 deaths (41%) are not included. Again, there is no data on the vaccination status.
3) The study defined the unvaccinated population by subtracting the number of fully vaccinated for the age group from the total Texas population. This does not include those who have had a single vaccination. Our world data shows that the distribution of the unvaccinated group during the study ranged from 59.1% to 59.6% of the Texas population, with a total of 11,761,200 unvaccinated compared to 8,112,177 calculated from the study data. Since the unvaccinated number is wrong (65% not included in the study), the death rate calculated from it is also wrong.
4) The authors state that missing or misspelled names or dates of birth may result in some vaccinated individuals being incorrectly defined as unvaccinated rather than vaccinated. Because the study data was obtained from the merging of 3 data sources, including national and state databases, a large number of data entry errors can occur. This could skew the study. How many records were eliminated and what was the ratio of fully vaccinated, partially vaccinated, and unvaccinated?
5) Since the vaccination status is not precisely known, since 65% of the population is not included, the other data on case rates cannot be defined by the study methodology.
data sources.
Study Data: https://www.dshs.texas.gov/immunize/covid19/data/Cases-and-Deaths-by-Vaccination-Status-11082021.pdf
Texas COVID-19 Deaths (link to deaths over time by county): https://dshs.texas.gov/coronavirus/AdditionalData.aspx
National Population by Age: https://www.statista.com/statistics/241488/population-of-the-us-by-sex-and-age/
State Population Statistics: https://www.statista.com/statistics/183457/united-states–resident-population/
Vaccination status: our world data
Michael J Cook had an international career in the semiconductor industry. Since the development of Lyme disease, he has been an independent researcher publishing in medical journals on Lyme disease testing technology, epidemiology and statistical analysis of infectious diseases.
