Autism Tsunami: the Affect of Rising Prevalence on the Societal Price of Autism in america
Congratulations to the authors, Mark Blaxill (Age of Autism Editor-At-Large), Toby Rogers, and Cynthia Nevison.
Blaxill, M., Rogers, T. & Nevison, C. Autism Tsunami: The Impact of Rising Prevalence on the Societal Cost of Autism in the United States. J Autism Dev Disord (2021). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10803-021-05120-7
The cost of ASD in the US is estimated using a forecasting model that takes into account the true historical increase in ASD for the first time. The model inputs include ASD prevalence, census projections, six cost categories, ten age groups, inflation projections, and three future prevalence scenarios. Future ASD costs will increase dramatically: total costs for the base case are estimated to be USD 223 (175–271) billion / year in 2020; $ 589 billion / year in 2030, $ 1.36 trillion / year in 2040, and $ 5.54 trillion / year in 2060, with considerable savings potential through ASD prevention. The rising prevalence, the shift from child to adult costs, the transfer of costs from parents to the state and rising total costs raise pressing political questions and require an urgent focus on prevention strategies. Read here: https://doi.org/10.1007/s10803-021-05120-7
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