6.4% of CA Boys Have Autism Prognosis Charges Proceed to Climb
Autism is the silent epidemic. Or should we say the silenced epidemic. All of this is observed by Anthony Fauci. All of it.
December 02, 2021
California outperforms New Jersey at the highest rates, with 6.4% of the state’s boys having a diagnosis
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) have released their latest autism prevalence estimates. The center reports that 1 in 44, or 2.27%, of American 8-year-olds have autism spectrum disorder (ASD). This rate is a 23% increase from two years ago when it was 1 in 54 children. The new prevalence reflects a 3.39-fold increase in numbers since the CDC began collecting data in 2000.
The study, published in the Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report of December 3, 2021, uses the Autism and Developmental Disabilities Monitoring (ADDM) Network to track the number of children with ASD and other developmental disorders living in different areas of the United States appreciate. These reports are usually published every two years. The current report examined a total of 5,058 8-year-old children with ASD in: Arizona, Arkansas, California, Georgia, Maryland, Minnesota, Missouri, New Jersey, Tennessee, Utah, and Wisconsin. The prevalence rates ranged from 1.6% in Missouri to 3.9% in California.
SafeMinds reached out to Walter M. Zahorodny, Ph.D. for insights from this devastating new prevalence report. Dr. Zahorodny is the lead investigator for the New Jersey ADDM Network and has been involved in these prevalence reports since their inception in 2000. The following is a transcript of our discussion.
This new report on the ADDM network was published slightly earlier than other reporting periods. Why is that happend?
The new report was released four months earlier than the typical ADDM sample. Usually the ADDM reports come out in March or April to be associated with Autism Awareness Month. This report marks the first time the network has used a different case-finding method. The new method is less comprehensive and less time consuming, which enables study activities to be completed more quickly.
The new autism prevalence rate is 1 in 44 for 8-year-old children surveyed in 2018, compared to 1 in 54 in the previous reporting period (2016). This rate appears to be a steeper increase when compared to other reporting periods. Can you give us some insight into why this happened?
The increase from 1 in 54 in 2016 to 1 in 44 in 2018 is stronger than in some previous cycles. I think most of the increase in 2018 was due to California’s addition to the ADDM network.
We’ve spoken to you about the high reported rates of autism in New Jersey, but this report shows that California has the highest rate of autism in the country. Did that surprise you? Why do you think Californians showed the highest rate?
I’m surprised California has the highest rate of autism. New Jersey has been the leading indicator of the prevalence of autism for nearly 20 years. Since the ADDM network in California never did autism monitoring, no one had any idea what to expect. I think California showed a higher rate because autism is prevalent in the US, and if you take a closer look at a metropolitan area with a good level of health and education, you will see high rates of autism.
Has the autism ratio of men to women in this report remained stable compared to other periods? What is the autism prevalence rate among boys? What is the price for girls?
The average ADDM rate for boys was 3.6%, for girls 0.8%. Boys pay 4 to 1 more than girls as most previous surveys show. However, I would like to draw your attention to the fact that the autism rate among boys in California was 6.4%. That is an unprecedented estimate and requires ongoing monitoring and research.
Has the prevalence rate remained constant across races and races during this reporting period? Have any differences or signals been discovered?
In most ADDM countries, the prevalence of autism is similar for all races. In some states, Hispanic children were identified with autism less often. It is gratifying that racial and ethnic differences in identifying autism may be decreasing in many regions.
Last October, we spoke to you about a report from New Jersey that showed that middle-income families had higher rates of autism than high- and low-income families. Has this report examined socio-economic status?
This is the first time an ADDM report provides information on Socio-Economic Status (SES). In this regard, the distribution of autism appears to be shifting. For the first decade of surveillance in New Jersey and across the Network, estimates of autism prevalence were significantly higher in communities with high SES. This report no longer shows the positive association between wealth and autism prevalence. In some states, the prevalence is highest in communities with low SES, while in New Jersey autism was most prevalent in communities with moderate SES. It is too early to know if this shift will continue and what it means.
This report was calculated and written during the pandemic. Has COVID affected data collection or other parts of the reporting process?
It is very likely that COVID-19 restrictions affected data collection at some ADDM locations. However, it is difficult to assess the overall impact of COVID-19 on our estimates.
Were there any surprises in this report?
I’m surprised California has the highest rate of autism. New Jersey has been the leading indicator of the prevalence of autism for nearly 20 years. Since the ADDM network in California never did autism monitoring, no one had any idea what to expect.
Is there any good news?
The good news is that the ADDM network now spans a region of California that will be able to provide high quality prevalence results in the future.
What do you take away from this ADDM report?
This report shows that the prevalence of autism in the United States has increased steadily over the past twenty years and that autism affects up to 4% of children born in 2010. Autism rates have not stabilized and hence future estimates are likely to continue to rise. The revised ADDM process is faster, but less comprehensive. It is likely that the true numbers are underestimated and children from underserved communities are missing. If autism already affects 4-7% of 8-year-old children in many areas of New Jersey, as shown in our current study, and 4% in California according to the new ADDM results, understanding the factors that are driving the increase in ASD- Drive prevalence, public health priority. Better strategies to improve the early detection of autism are also needed, as well as new research to identify environmental triggers and risk factors for ASD.
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